18

Theboss'sdaughter

4yo Filly · 11-5

Listowel · Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#13

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Timeform

Commentary

Offered little when down the field in Galway bumper on debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 2m175y Goo 1621/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Galway?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/202612th125/10%35%+0.35