15

Unquite Dreams

6yo Mare · 11-7

Listowel · Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thrice-raced under Rules. In first-time tongue strap, much improved when winning 12-runner bumper at Killarney (17f, good, 14/1) in July. More expected now back hurdling.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cork 03/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m Yie 1653/01C?C8 @ Limerick 10/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f150y Hvy 16110/02C8C0 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 15817/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Killarney?1st1st0
2026-02-10Limerick?4th4th0
2026-01-03Cork?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0110/0217/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +26.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/01/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
10/02/20264th28/10%70%+0.70
17/07/20261st14/126%100%+0.74