2

Coolishael

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#3

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Point recruit who has made a good start under Rules, placed in a bumper in May and on both outings in maiden hurdles since, 3 lengths third of 15 to Colliers Quay at Ballinrobe on latest. Sets the standard and wears first-time tongue strap but may prove vulnerable to improvers.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 16113/05C?C8 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 24 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1666/06C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 2m2f44y Gd 16624/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Ballinrobe?3rd3rd0
2026-06-06Punchestown?2nd2nd0
2026-05-13Punchestown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/056/0624/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%

Delivery trend -15.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/05/20263rd7/163%83%+0.20
06/06/20262nd7/282%96%+0.14
24/08/20263rd8/1597%86%-0.11