3

Deeter

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#14

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Timeform

Commentary

Pulled up in bumper on debut and no promise to be gleaned from either of his 2 starts in maidens hurdles since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 15822/08C8C8 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR - · 2m160y Yie 1667/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Galway?6th6th0
2026-08-22Killarney?10th10th0
2026-03-12Limerick?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +33.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/202610th200/10%40%+0.40
07/09/20266th150/10%74%+0.74