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5

Kingston Silver

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#16

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held both starts in recent weeks and will make no appeal this side of handicaps. Engaed 1.55 Listowel Wednesday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 10.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m180y Goo 1587/08C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 1663/09C8C8 @ Listowel 23/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m Goo 16623/09C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Listowel?11th11th0
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?9th9th0
2026-08-07Wexford?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/083/0923/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%

Delivery trend +9.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/202612th66/10%15%+0.15
03/09/20269th150/10%20%+0.20
23/09/202611th300/10%33%+0.33