6

Le Vent D'ex

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#15

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Timeform

Commentary

No impact in a bumper and in 2 maidens hurdles since returning from a year off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 2m2f Goo 1663/08C8C8 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 15822/08C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?12th12th0
2026-08-03Cork?12th12th0
2025-07-17Killarney?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0822/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%

Delivery trend -8.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/202612th125/10%35%+0.35
22/08/202612th300/10%27%+0.27