8
Rokanako
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Tipperary | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |