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16

Tell The Boys

4yo Filly · 11-3

Listowel · Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

59%

Place Prob

52%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course bumper winner in May. Was in the process of running well and still in front when unseating rider soon after 3 out in fillies maiden hurdle won by Kingside Lady at Wexford last month. Claims if putting in a clear round of jumping this time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Wexford 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m Sft 15117/03C?C0 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m60y Goo 15910/05C?C0 @ Listowel 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m100y Yie 15930/05C?C0 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m Yie 1598/06C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Wexford?0
2026-06-08Roscommon?6th6th0
2026-05-30Listowel?1st1st0
2026-05-10Cork?2nd2nd0
2026-03-17Wexford?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0310/0530/058/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%

Delivery trend -24.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
10/05/20262nd4/179%90%+0.11
30/05/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
08/06/20266th6/492%17%-0.75