5
Ben Hur
4yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 124
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Handicap) In Memory Of John Molyneaux (Listed) · 2m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲6
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Leopardstown | BHA74 | 1st | 9th | −6 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA71 | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Fairyhouse | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2025-11-02 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 15th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 29/09/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |