10

Berto Ramirez

4yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 112

Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Handicap) In Memory Of John Molyneaux (Listed) · 2m

#13

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Solid effort to get off the mark in a Down Royal maiden in May. No impact in big-field handicap hurdle at Galway last month. Hasn't pulled up any trees on the Flat since, either, and a 2 lb reprieve unlikely to be enough back hurdling.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 15.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Naas 22/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m7f110y Hvy 154 · HIGHER CLASS22/0211 @ Cheltenham 13/03/2026 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR 115 · 2m179y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 115 parC8 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR 115 · 2m1f88y Gd 152 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 115 par4/05C8OR 115BHA118 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 118 · 2m1f Goo 150 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 118 parC8 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 117 · 2m4f Yie 149 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 117 par8/06C8OR 117BHA69 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 69 · 1m4f Yie 139 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 69 parBHA114 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 16th of 20 · OR 114 · 2m175y Goo 147 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 114 par1/08114OR 114BHA68 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m4f Goo 132 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 68 parBHA66 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 66 · 1m2f145y Goo 137 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 66 par4/0966OR 66projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA666th13th6
2026-08-15TramoreBHA684th11th6
2026-08-01GalwayBHA11416th29th10
2026-07-30GalwayBHA694th11th6
2026-06-08Roscommon?3rd11th7
2026-05-27WexfordBHA1184th17th11

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0227/051/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20264th80/10%25%+0.25
13/03/202617th250/10%16%+0.16
04/05/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
27/05/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
08/06/20263rd4/179%0%-0.79
30/07/20264th10/147%81%+0.34
01/08/202616th12/137%21%-0.16
15/08/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
04/09/20266th9/276%62%-0.15