11
Game Point
4yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 112
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Handicap) In Memory Of John Molyneaux (Listed) · 2m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | ? | 3rd | 11th | −7 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 11th | −7 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | ? | 3rd | 11th | −7 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | ? | 6th | 14th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 62% | -0.28 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 22/03/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 69% | -0.05 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 94% | +0.13 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |