12
It's Bobsled Time
4yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 108
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Handicap) In Memory Of John Molyneaux (Listed) · 2m
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -8.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Wexford | BHA109 | 4th | 16th | −10 |
| 2026-02-07 | Naas | ? | 10th | 18th | −7 |
| 2026-01-14 | Fairyhouse | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Cork | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cork | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 23/11/2025 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 15/12/2025 | 1st | 250/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/02/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |