6
Mino Des Mottes
4yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 123
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Handicap) In Memory Of John Molyneaux (Listed) · 2m
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-07-04 | Bellewstown | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-03-10 | Cheltenham | 1 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Punchestown | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 31/12/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 12/01/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 10/03/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 93% | -0.04 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |