7
Ole Ole
4yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 123
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Handicap) In Memory Of John Molyneaux (Listed) · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2026-03-10 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-27 | Leopardstown | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2025-11-22 | Punchestown | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 94% | +0.52 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |