6
Acheron
5yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 103
Listowel · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Navan | BHA67 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 09/09/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 29/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 30/03/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 14/05/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/05/2026 | 15th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 250/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 06/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |