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5

Beckistine

7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 105

Listowel · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair hurdler who has proven more miss than hit to date but wasn't seen to best effect when 17 lengths eighth of 20 to Inthenickoftime at Galway last time, having hopeless task from position.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Navan 07/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m Sft 1687/12C?C0 @ Limerick 28/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m2f Yie 168C0 @ Punchestown 20/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f211y Sft 16820/02C?C8 @ Wexford 17/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 2m Goo 166C8 @ Limerick 19/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m70y Yie 16619/10C8C8 @ Gowran Park 08/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR - · 2m20y Hvy 166BHA113 @ Navan 14/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 113 · 2m4f Sft 159 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 113 par14/12113OR 113C8 @ Limerick 29/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 112 · 2m3f Sft 160 · below its mark29/12/2025 · OR 112 parBHA106 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 106 · 2m160y Yie 166 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 106 par7/09106OR 106projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07GalwayBHA1068th8th0
2026-01-20Down Royal?0
2025-12-29Limerick?6th6th0
2025-12-14NavanBHA1139th9th0
2025-11-08Gowran Park?9th9th0
2025-10-19Limerick?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1217/0314/127/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/12/20245th15/261%33%-0.27
28/12/20249th28/10%33%+0.33
20/02/20255th25/10%56%+0.56
17/03/20253rd16/116%85%+0.69
19/10/20254th11/142%67%+0.25
08/11/20259th33/10%58%+0.58
14/12/20259th28/10%56%+0.56
29/12/20256th7/163%29%-0.35
07/09/20268th33/10%63%+0.63