10
Jaadil
5yo Mare · 10-9 · OR 93
Listowel · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA94 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA94 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | BHA94 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-24 | Sligo | BHA93 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cork | BHA83 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Navan | BHA82 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 05/07/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 11/08/2025 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 79% | +0.13 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |