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4

Lenjoleur De Palma

5yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 107

Listowel · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Enjoyed a fruitful handicap campaign last season, winning 2m handicap at Limerick and placed at that same course a further 3 times. Still only 5, he may have more to offer as a hurdler, though his best form to date has come on soft/heavy going.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Warwick 21/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m Goo 15421/1143 @ Newbury 15/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 100 · 2m69y Sft 154 · beat its mark15/01/2025 · OR 100 par5 @ Hereford 26/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 98 · 2m53y Gd 151 · below its mark26/03/2025 · OR 98 par26/035OR 985 @ Fakenham 06/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 96 · 2m4f1y Gd 164 · below its mark06/05/2025 · OR 96 parBHA91 @ Listowel 25/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 91 · 2m Goo 145 · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 91 par25/0991OR 91BHA91 @ Limerick 18/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 91 · 2m70y Yie 148 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 91 parBHA93 @ Limerick 18/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 93 · 2m Hvy 162 · beat its mark18/11/2025 · OR 93 par18/1193OR 931 @ Limerick 29/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 102 · 2m Sft 140 · beat its mark29/12/2025 · OR 102 parBHA106 @ Limerick 22/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 106 · 2m50y Sft 166 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 106 par22/03106OR 106projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-22LimerickBHA1063rd3rd0
2025-12-29Limerick12nd2nd0
2025-11-18LimerickBHA931st1st0
2025-10-18LimerickBHA913rd3rd0
2025-09-25ListowelBHA916th6th0
2025-05-06Fakenham54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/116/0518/1122/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20244th6/168%50%-0.18
15/01/20254th9/153%50%-0.03
26/03/20253rd4/179%67%-0.12
06/05/20254th9/276%25%-0.51
25/09/20256th14/126%69%+0.42
18/10/20253rd4/179%80%+0.01
18/11/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
29/12/20252nd9/488%91%+0.03
22/03/20263rd5/287%83%-0.04