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11

Rene's Gold

5yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 92

Listowel · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m

#15

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★ Timeform

Commentary

Unpromising in points and only minor encouragement in 3 maiden hurdles in recent weeks, though should do better now tackling a handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 19 · OR - · 2m175y Goo 1591/08C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 15121/08C8C8 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR - · 2m160y Yie 1597/09C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Galway?8th8th0
2026-08-21Kilbeggan?9th9th0
2026-08-01Galway?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0821/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20268th150/10%61%+0.61
21/08/20269th18/15%33%+0.28
07/09/20268th66/10%63%+0.63