12
Boston Rajj
8yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 110
Listowel · Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#16
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Galway | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Perth | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Downpatrick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Sligo | BHA117 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Killarney | BHA114 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 2110% of fieldRange 12-21 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 19th of 21.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 11/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 07/08/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 19/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |