11
Chutzpal
7yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 111
Listowel · Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA74 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | BHA76 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | BHA78 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA79 | 24th | 24th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Newmarket | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Killarney | BHA70 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 2150% of fieldRange 4-19 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 21. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 68% | +0.11 |
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 31/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 24/05/2026 | 24th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |