18

Hello Jack

6yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 107

Listowel · Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f

#17

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed in a trio of maiden hurdles and similar form over fences when third of 14 on handicap debut at Fairyhouse in January. Disappointing both starts since and now reverts to hurdling on back of 6-month break and in first-time tongue strap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 13/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 19 · OR - · 2m40y Yie 16113/12C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 16/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 2m55y Sft 158C8 @ Down Royal 17/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 2m190y Gd 15817/03C8C0 @ Galway 26/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m6f111y Yie 166C0 @ Punchestown 31/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m7f197y Yie 16631/12C?BHA110 @ Fairyhouse 15/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 110 · 2m5f Sft 166 · below its mark15/01/2026 · OR 110 parBHA110 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 110 · 2m5f120y Yie 166 · below its mark03/03/2026 · OR 110 par3/03110OR 110BHA108 @ Down Royal 12/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 108 · 3m2f50y Goo 155 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 108 par12/04108OR 108projClass-projected finish: 16th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-12Down RoyalBHA1086th6th0
2026-03-03LeopardstownBHA1108th8th0
2026-01-15FairyhouseBHA1103rd3rd0
2025-12-31Punchestown?6th6th0
2025-11-09Naas?0
2025-10-26Galway?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1226/103/0312/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish20th of 215% of fieldRange 17-21 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 20th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20243rd33/10%89%+0.89
16/01/20253rd4/179%83%+0.04
17/03/20253rd85/4089%86%-0.03
26/10/20258th33/10%30%+0.30
31/12/20256th100/10%44%+0.44
15/01/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
03/03/20268th7/282%22%-0.59
12/04/20266th4/179%44%-0.35