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7

In For The Night

8yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 114

Listowel · Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f

#5

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to his best on just his second start for the yard when winning 10-runner handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, good) in July, soon clear having jumped on at the last. A 9 lb rise makes like tougher, though Harry Cobden taking over in the saddle can only be viewed as a positive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C11.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA105 @ Fairyhouse 30/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 24 · OR 105 · 2m4f55y Yie 143 · below its mark30/11/2024 · OR 105 par30/11105OR 105BHA108 @ Punchestown 31/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 108 · 2m3f Sft 149 · below its mark31/12/2024 · OR 108 parBHA107 @ Naas 03/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 107 · 2m2f180y Goo 163 · beat its mark03/04/2025 · OR 107 par3/04107OR 107BHA114 @ Punchestown 30/04/2025 · Pos 19th of 25 · OR 114 · 2m3f58y Yie 160 · below its mark30/04/2025 · OR 114 parBHA114 @ Punchestown 08/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 114 · 2m3f12y Goo 162 · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 114 par8/06114OR 114BHA113 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 113 · 1m7f165y Yie 159 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 113 parBHA111 @ Fairyhouse 11/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 111 · 2m Yie 160 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 111 par11/10111OR 111BHA106 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 106 · 2m3f61y Goo 163 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 106 parBHA105 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 105 · 2m2f200y Gd 161 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 105 par24/07105OR 105projClass-projected finish: 8th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA1051st1st0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA1067th7th0
2025-10-11FairyhouseBHA1118th8th0
2025-09-20NavanBHA11316th16th0
2025-06-08PunchestownBHA11411th11th0
2025-04-30PunchestownBHA11419th19th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1130/0411/1024/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 21100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/11/20242nd15/261%96%+0.35
31/12/202410th11/271%18%-0.53
03/04/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
30/04/202519th28/10%25%+0.25
08/06/202511th10/147%9%-0.38
20/09/202516th33/10%0%0.00
11/10/20258th20/10%36%+0.36
05/06/20267th25/10%60%+0.60
24/07/20261st17/255%100%+0.45