10
Killowen House
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 113
Listowel · Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA111 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 2190% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength96%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 21. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 84% | +0.84 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |