15
Mart Lane
5yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 108
Listowel · Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#14
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA104 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA104 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fairyhouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wexford | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Thurles | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Fairyhouse | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 2160% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength93%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 21. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 76% | -0.05 |
| 30/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 92% | +0.04 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 95% | +0.11 |