3
No Looking Back
8yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 119
Listowel · Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | BHA119 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Punchestown | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | BHA119 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Leopardstown | BHA119 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Punchestown | BHA123 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | BHA125 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2165% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2024 | 4th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/01/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 22/02/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |
| 09/03/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 31/12/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/05/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 68% | +0.68 |