17

Tiger Twins

5yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 108

Listowel · Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f

#20

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form across 3 maiden hurdles, in first-time tongue strap when fifth of 12 at Killarney (2½m, good to soft) on latest in May. Open to improvement now tackling handicap company. Engaged 3.40 Listowel Wednesday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 27/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m Goo 15927/09C?C8 @ Down Royal 01/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m190y Yie 1661/11C8C8 @ Limerick 29/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f Sft 16629/12C8C0 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f Yie 1685/04C?C8 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f50y Goo 15811/05C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 21
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23ListowelBHA1080
2026-05-11Killarney?5th5th0
2026-04-05Cork?14th14th0
2025-12-29Limerick?4th4th0
2025-11-01Down Royal?5th5th0
2025-09-27Listowel?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/091/1129/125/0411/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2130% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%

Delivery trend +13.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20257th13/266%25%-0.41
01/11/20255th150/10%64%+0.64
29/12/20254th4/179%79%-0.00
05/04/202614th14/126%13%-0.13
11/05/20265th33/10%64%+0.64