1

Barton Sky

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Chase · 2m 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

250/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Timeform

Commentary

Winning pointer but tailed off in 2 maiden hurdles and a beginners chase back under Rules for Shark Hanlon in recent weeks.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 29/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 2m6f120y Yie 16829/12C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 3m100y Gd 15824/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 10/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m6f113y Goo 16610/08C8C0 @ Downpatrick 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m3f100y Gd 16631/08C?projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Downpatrick?7th7th0
2026-08-10Ballinrobe?12th12th0
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2024-12-29Limerick?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1224/0710/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -25.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/12/20246th125/10%67%+0.67
24/07/20265th14/126%50%+0.24
10/08/202612th10/147%15%-0.32
31/08/20267th125/10%0%0.00