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Fort Dino

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Chase · 2m 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ex-French recruit who won juvenile hurdle at Auteuil (17f, soft) last May for Hugo Merienne. Tongue tied and went with little promise on yard debut but shaped encouragingly sent chasing after 4 months off when second of 6 at Killarney (23f, good to soft) 5 weeks ago. Better to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Dieppe 01/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m198y GS 1451/05C?C0 @ Auteuil 31/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 14731/05C?C8 @ Punchestown 30/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m90y Yie 16630/04C8C0 @ Killarney 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m7f100y Goo 16620/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Killarney?2nd2nd0
2026-04-30Punchestown?8th8th0
2025-05-31Auteuil?1st1st0
2025-05-01Dieppe?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0531/0530/0420/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -9.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20254th8/158%77%+0.19
31/05/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
30/04/20268th22/10%30%+0.30
20/08/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06