5
Jarrive De Mee
7yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Chase · 2m 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-01 | Galway | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-04-30 | Punchestown | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-19 | Haydock | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-22 | Catterick | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-11-21 | Thurles | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2024 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 22/01/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 19/03/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 30/04/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |