6
Largy Hill
9yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Chase · 2m 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-22 | Thurles | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-01-06 | Cork | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2023-11-18 | Navan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-03-12 | Limerick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2023-02-04 | Leopardstown | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2022-12-27 | Limerick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2022 | 5th | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 27/12/2022 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/02/2023 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/03/2023 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/11/2023 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |
| 06/01/2024 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 22/02/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |