9

Rattledelatch

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Chase · 2m 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

No better than poor form in a bumper/4 outings over hurdles but much improved sent chasing when second of 9 at Tramore (2¾m, good) 6 weeks ago. Stiff task here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 01/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR - · 2m2f181y Yie 1681/05C?C8 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m5f175y Goo 16630/05C8C8 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 24 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1666/06C8BHA99 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 99 · 2m1f Goo 155 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 99 par16/0799OR 99C0 @ Tramore 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m5f180y Gd 16613/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Tramore?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA9912th12th0
2026-06-06Punchestown?6th6th0
2026-05-30Tramore?9th9th0
2026-05-01Punchestown?16th16th0
2025-11-08Gowran Park?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0530/056/0616/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

Delivery trend +11.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/202616th200/10%25%+0.25
30/05/20269th40/10%33%+0.33
06/06/20266th150/10%78%+0.78
16/07/202612th33/10%21%+0.21
13/08/20262nd66/10%88%+0.88