10

Tackletommywoowoo

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Chase · 2m 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressed well during second half of last year, gaining a third hurdles success in listed company at Cork (3m) in November. Stiff task when tailed off in a couple of Grade 1s earlier in the year and has moved yards ahead of this return/chasing debut (bred for this discipline).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Clonmel 27/03/2025 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 2m Goo 16627/03C8BHA93 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 93 · 2m2f50y Goo 161 · below its mark24/04/2025 · OR 93 parBHA93 @ Listowel 31/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 93 · 2m7f100y Goo 163 · below its mark31/05/2025 · OR 93 par31/0593OR 93BHA98 @ Wexford 24/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 98 · 3m Gd 167 · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 98 parBHA110 @ Listowel 24/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 110 · 3m Yie 153 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 110 par24/09110OR 110C8 @ Cork 12/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 110 · 3m50y Goo 158 · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 110 par1 @ Cork 02/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 123 · 3m100y Yie 154 · beat its mark02/11/2025 · OR 123 par2/111OR 1231 @ Leopardstown 02/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 135 · 2m6f53y Hvy 164 · below its mark02/02/2026 · OR 135 par1 @ Cheltenham 13/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 22 · OR 132 · 2m7f213y Goo 161 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 132 par13/031OR 132projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-13Cheltenham110th10th0
2026-02-02Leopardstown17th7th0
2025-11-02Cork11st1st0
2025-10-12Cork?1st1st0
2025-09-24ListowelBHA1106th6th0
2025-07-24WexfordBHA981st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0324/072/1113/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/202512th28/10%35%+0.35
24/04/20257th13/266%54%-0.12
31/05/20252nd9/153%94%+0.41
24/07/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
24/09/20256th11/271%58%-0.13
12/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
02/11/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
02/02/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
13/03/202610th50/10%57%+0.57