10

Tackletommywoowoo
6yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Chase · 2m 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Leopardstown | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Cork | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Cork | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Listowel | BHA110 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Wexford | BHA98 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 24/04/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 54% | -0.12 |
| 31/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 94% | +0.41 |
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/09/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |