9

Real Lark

4yo Filly · 11-3

Listowel · Kevin McManus Bookmaker Flat Race · 2m

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has a decent pedigree but was soon detached on her recent Ballinrobe debut and stayed there. Tongue strap quickly applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m5y Goo 15011/09C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Ballinrobe?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20264th12/137%25%-0.12