3

Epistle

2yo Colt · 9-2

Newmarket · Plantation Stud British EBF Maiden Stakes · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Timeform

Commentary

5,000 gns yearling (private sale), Pinatubo colt. 33/1, badly in need of experience when sixth of 8 in maiden at Newbury (6.5f, firm) on debut 29 days ago, very slowly away. Best watched.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f110y GF 13326/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Newbury46th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20266th33/10%29%+0.29