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5

Lead The Squad

2yo Colt · 9-2

Newmarket · Plantation Stud British EBF Maiden Stakes · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cost plenty as a yearling but hasn't cut much ice in 2 outings and probably needs more time and distance. Tongue strap goes on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Doncaster 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f6y GF 13323/0732 @ Goodwood 08/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS8/092projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Goodwood27th6th+1
2026-07-23Doncaster38th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +42.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20268th17/255%13%-0.43
08/09/20267th66/10%0%0.00