6

Netherstream

2yo Colt · 9-2

Newmarket · Plantation Stud British EBF Maiden Stakes · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shown a bit on both outings to date, improving on debut effort when fifth of 10 in maiden at Sandown (7f, good to soft) 27 days ago. Entitled to be in the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f GF 1337/0833 @ Sandown 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 12828/083projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Sandown35th5th0
2026-08-07Newmarket33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%

Delivery trend -52.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
28/08/20265th5/174%56%-0.18