Mubasimah
3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 93
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 8.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Ascot | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 23th | 23th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | 1 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2026-04-15 | Newmarket | 1 | 6th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 03/05/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 19/06/2026 | 23rd | 28/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |