10
Zooella
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 78
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-12-18 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-11-25 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-10-23 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 25/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 18/12/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/08/2026 | 18th | 16/1 | 16% | 6% | -0.10 |