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3yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 94
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 27th | 27th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Goodwood | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Newbury | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-17 | Haydock | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 19/06/2026 | 27th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |