
Beauty Box
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 81
Newmarket · Federation of Bloodstock Agents Nursery · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Yarmouth | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newmarket | 1 | 8th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Newmarket | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |