10
Envision
2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 79
Newmarket · Federation of Bloodstock Agents Nursery · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 22th | 19th | +3 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thirsk | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/06/2026 | 22nd | 150/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 29/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |