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Harry Knows

2yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 90

Newmarket · Federation of Bloodstock Agents Nursery · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful performer who was an emphatic winner of a Windsor novice (6f, firm) in July. Creditable close third of 5 in nursery there next time and filled that same position upped to listed company at Ripon (6f, good to soft) last month. Respected with Moore booked back in a nursery.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 17/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f34y Gd 13317/0442 @ Goodwood 01/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS1/0525 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f Sft 1309/0652 @ Salisbury 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 85 · 6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 85 par30/062OR 854 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 83 · 6f12y GF 130 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 83 par27/074OR 834 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 86 · 6f12y GF 136 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 86 par10/084OR 861 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 87 · 6f Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 87 par31/081OR 87projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Ripon13rd0th+2
2026-08-10Windsor43rd4th−1
2026-07-27Windsor41st2nd−1
2026-06-30Salisbury22nd1st+1
2026-06-09Salisbury52nd4th−2
2026-05-01Goodwood24th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0430/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20262nd17/255%88%+0.32
01/05/20264th4/696%40%-0.56
09/06/20262nd6/594%90%-0.04
30/06/20262nd85/4089%90%+0.01
27/07/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
10/08/20263rd4/596%50%-0.46
31/08/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30