8

Jaijai
2yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 82
Newmarket · Federation of Bloodstock Agents Nursery · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Haydock | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Goodwood | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hamilton | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Ascot | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 31/07/2026 | 16th | 18/1 | 5% | 12% | +0.07 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |