8

Jaijai

2yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 82

Newmarket · Federation of Bloodstock Agents Nursery · 5f

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Speedy sort who made all in a 5f Goodwood maiden (good to firm) in June. Rather in-and-out since and the suspicion is he'll again prove vulnerable to his more lightly-raced rivals (has been gelded since last seen).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 1339/0534 @ Hamilton 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f7y Goo 13327/0544 @ Goodwood 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f Goo 13319/0644 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 84 · 5f21y GF 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 84 par13/074OR 842 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR 84 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 84 par31/072OR 843 @ Haydock 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 84 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 84 par7/083OR 84projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Haydock34th4th0
2026-07-31Goodwood216th15th+1
2026-07-13Windsor42nd3rd1
2026-06-19Goodwood41st2nd1
2026-05-27Hamilton42nd3rd1
2026-05-09Ascot36th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0527/0519/0613/0731/077/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20266th13/266%44%-0.21
27/05/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08
19/06/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
13/07/20262nd6/492%50%-0.42
31/07/202616th18/15%12%+0.07
07/08/20264th5/174%25%-0.49