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4

Lazurite

2yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 85

Newmarket · Federation of Bloodstock Agents Nursery · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stood out on her debut form and got back on track as she completed a simple task following a 3-month break in 6-runner novice at Lingfield (6f) last month, totally dominating her rivals with the longer trip no problem. Back down to 5f for her nursery bow and remains with stacks of potential.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0524 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 12822/0544 @ Lingfield 25/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f1y Std 12825/084projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Lingfield41st2nd−1
2026-05-22Goodwood47th8th−1
2026-05-03Newmarket22nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0522/0525/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%

Delivery trend -15.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20262nd9/153%86%+0.33
22/05/20267th15/890%14%-0.76
25/08/20261st2/598%100%+0.02