7
Minzelle
2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 82
Newmarket · Federation of Bloodstock Agents Nursery · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 6th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Catterick | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Haydock | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -15.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |