5

Not My Type

2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 84

Newmarket · Federation of Bloodstock Agents Nursery · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

No Nay Never filly who went 2-2 for her leading stable when making all in novice at Beverley (5f, good) last month. Lost her unbeaten record upped to listed company at Ripon (6f) last month but she's perhaps more a 5f filly for now. Folly to discount on nursery debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sandown 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 12824/0744 @ Beverley 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 13513/0841 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 6f Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 84 par31/081OR 84projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Ripon15th2nd+2
2026-08-13Beverley41st2nd1
2026-07-24Sandown41st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0713/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength1%

Delivery trend -29.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
13/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
31/08/20265th11/271%33%-0.38