1
Cilician
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 86
Newmarket · Tattersalls Stakes (Registered As The Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3) · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength31%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Sandown | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 3 | 4th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 2 | 8th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 2 | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 11th | 11th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -15.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 16/06/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 91% | +0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 59% | +0.06 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |