2
Fuel The Jet
2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 90
Newmarket · Tattersalls Stakes (Registered As The Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3) · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-19 | York | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 3 | 5th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +17.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |