4
Jimtrott
2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 92
Newmarket · Tattersalls Stakes (Registered As The Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3) · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
86%
Place Prob
62%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Leicester | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |